Politics

Burke revives detention for overstayers and sets lower migration targets

Marian ElleryPublished 2w ago4 min readBased on 2 sources
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Burke revives detention for overstayers and sets lower migration targets
Photo by UK Home Office / CC BY 4.0

Home Affairs Minister Tony Burke announced at the National Press Club on 17 September 2026 a federal immigration plan centred on reducing the number of unlawful non-citizens in Australia, estimated at roughly 77,000. Guardian

The core of the compliance element is the reopening of detention centres for visa overstayers, overseen by compliance officers. Burke said 100 new compliance officers would be hired to round up overstayers. That is the enforcement arm. The detention arm is capacity.

Burke said an additional 250 detention beds would be freed, plus potentially repurposing a 100-bed quarantine facility in Victoria. The numbers are specific. They are also small against the 77,000 figure the government cites as the caseload.

On process, Burke said most overstayers would be placed in detention for a matter of weeks and encouraged to leave voluntarily. He described the policy as returning to a routine pre-2015 process where overstayers were held in detention centres before securing flights home. In other words, short-term holding to facilitate removal, not long-term detention.

The Press Club address also set migration settings beyond compliance. Labor's plan aims to bring net overseas migration down from 292,100 to 245,000 in 2026/27 and 225,000 each year thereafter. Burke's September 2026 migration changes include tighter rules on visa-hopping. SBS

For press-gallery types, the historical reference point matters. Then-immigration minister Peter Dutton introduced mandatory visa cancellations for criminal offenders in 2014. Burke is now reaching further back, to pre-2015 practice on overstayers, and presenting it as restoration rather than innovation.

The political reaction was swift. Greens immigration spokesperson David Shoebridge said Labor was "reheating Tony Abbott's immigration attacks with a 2026 Donald Trump twist." Shoebridge said Labor's new immigration detention sites would be run by the same US private prison multinational already operating immigration detention in Australia, and said "if the minister does not want comparison to ICE he should not behave like ICE."

The operator at issue is Management and Training Corporation. In 2025, the US private prison company won a $2.3 billion contract to run onshore detention in Australia under its local subsidiary Secure Journeys. Management and Training Corporation is one of the private prison operators running ICE detention facilities in the United States.

Burke rejected the parallel. He called Shoebridge's comparison of Labor's policy to the Trump administration's immigration stance a "ridiculous claim."

The broader context here is why Labor has chosen this combination of levers at once. A compliance surge plays to one audience. A lower net overseas migration target plays to another. Tying them together in a single Press Club package lets the government say it is regaining control of both the stock of unlawful non-citizens and the flow of new arrivals, without legislating a new detention power.

Looking at what this means for practitioners, the questions are operational. One hundred compliance officers is a defined field capacity. Two hundred and fifty beds plus a possible 100 in Victoria is a defined detention estate. Neither comes close to 77,000. That gap is the point. The model only works if turnover is rapid, if most cases resolve in weeks, and if voluntary departure does most of the heavy lifting. If removal logistics stall, if flights cannot be secured, or if legal challenge extends stays, the maths tightens quickly.

In my view, the contracting detail will get as much scrutiny as the bed numbers. Labor did not create the Secure Journeys arrangement, but it now owns its use for this policy. For the Greens and parts of the crossbench, the fact the same US multinational operates in both the Australian onshore network and the US ICE system provides a ready-made line of attack, fair or not. For the Coalition, the vulnerability runs the other way. A Labor minister explicitly invoking pre-2015 routine and post-2014 mandatory cancellation history invites the response that stricter enforcement was needed all along.

Canberra has heard this tune before. Governments announce officers and beds. The test is throughput. Burke has put figures around both. The figures will now be checked against removals, voluntary departures, average length of detention, and whether net overseas migration actually tracks to 245,000 and then 225,000. Spin aside, those are the numbers to watch.