Unemployment rises to 5.6 percent as National and Labour trade blame over jobs

New Zealand's unemployment rate rose to 5.6 percent in the June 2026 quarter, a near 11-year high, according to Stats NZ figures released this week. The rate climbed 0.2 percentage points from the March quarter, with the number of unemployed people rising by 8,000 to 171,000 (Stats NZ).
The underutilisation rate also rose, up 0.8 percentage points to 13.8 percent. The total number of underutilised people increased by 31,000 to 440,000, while underemployed people rose by 9,000 to 154,000. The figures paint a labour market that has been steadily softening: the unemployment rate was 5.2 percent in the June 2025 quarter, 5.3 percent in September, 5.4 percent in December 2025, 5.3 percent in March 2026, and now 5.6 percent.
Finance Minister Nicola Willis appeared on RNZ's Morning Report political panel before the figures were released, describing the last quarter as a "very difficult three months" but saying data was beginning to point in "another direction" (RNZ). Willis cited increased tourism numbers, more international students, Fast Track Consents, free trade agreements, and changes to the Holidays Act and Health and Safety Act as government policies aimed at boosting employer confidence.
Willis pointed to high inflation and interest rates, global tariffs and an oil shock as factors in what she described as a difficult economic recovery. Her tone marked a shift from earlier ministerial releases. In August 2025 she highlighted unemployment being "lower than forecast" at 5.2 percent (Beehive). In February 2026, she welcomed 15,000 additional jobs while noting the rate had risen to 5.4 percent, fractionally below Treasury's 5.5 percent forecast (Beehive).
On the government's welfare changes, Willis confirmed that from November 2026 a parental assistance test will apply to jobseekers and equivalent emergency benefits. Parents earning more than $65,000 will be required to support their 18 to 19-year-old children. The government is also tightening eligibility for Jobseeker benefits more broadly. Around 14 percent of young people in New Zealand were not in work, training or education.
Labour deputy leader Carmel Sepuloni, appearing on the same panel, accused the government of an "actual disregard" for struggling families. She pointed to Labour's expanded employer support policy for apprentices, set to begin in July 2028, and the party's Future Fund initiative. Sepuloni said Labour would not have paused major infrastructure projects, would have invested in the health system, and would not have directed money into tax breaks for landlords and the tobacco industry. She said Labour's manifesto, including job creation modelling for the New Zealand Future Fund, would be released in the coming weeks.
Willis denied the disregard accusation, saying the government "absolutely" cared about struggling people.
On the wages side, Stats NZ's Quarterly Employment Survey reported average ordinary time hourly earnings of $44.62 for the year ended June 2026, up 2.8 percent. Private sector ordinary time hourly earnings rose 3.0 percent to $42.46, while public sector ordinary time hourly earnings rose 2.2 percent to $52.59. Average weekly earnings including overtime for full-time equivalent employees rose 3.0 percent to $1,730. Private sector average weekly earnings rose 3.1 percent to $1,642; public sector average weekly earnings rose 2.9 percent to $2,062.
Stats NZ also corrected an error affecting Household Labour Force Survey data on reasons people worked fewer hours than usual in the December 2025 and March 2026 quarters. The QES sample was rotated in the June 2026 quarter for forestry, electricity, gas, water, and waste services, and for rental, hiring, and real estate services.
The trajectory is clear enough. Unemployment has risen in four of the last five quarters, and the 5.6 percent figure is the highest since 2015. For a government that campaigned on economic management, the headline is awkward. Willis's pivot to forward indicators, tourism, consents, trade deals, is a deliberate reframing: the argument is that the cycle has turned even if the labour data has not yet caught up. Whether that holds will depend on the September quarter numbers. For Labour, the political opening is obvious, and Sepuloni's emphasis on apprenticeships, infrastructure and the Future Fund signals the lines of attack the opposition will run through to the election. The welfare tightening, including the parental income test from November, gives Labour another angle: that the government is making life harder for beneficiaries at the same time as unemployment climbs. Both parties, in other words, are now talking past each other on the same set of numbers.


