The Head of America's Biggest Bank Says He Wouldn't Buy Stocks or Bonds Right Now

Jamie Dimon, the CEO of JPMorgan Chase — the largest bank in the United States — said he would not buy stocks or government bonds at current prices, according to remarks reported by CNBC on July 20, 2026. Dimon also said markets underestimate risks, though he did not specify which ones. On government bonds (called Treasurys), he said there is limited upside for bond prices at current levels. CNBC
Why does this matter? JPMorgan sits at the center of global money flows. Its trading desks, banking services, and investment arm give Dimon a view across stocks, bonds, and interest rates that few people in finance can match.
Here is the key thing to understand about bonds: bond prices and interest rates move in opposite directions. When interest rates go up, bond prices go down. So when Dimon says there is limited upside for Treasury prices, he is saying that interest rates are more likely to rise than fall from here — and if rates rise, bond prices would drop.
Dimon also said he wouldn't buy stocks at current prices. That is a direct challenge to the optimism that has driven markets for much of the period since the pandemic. He has been warning about these issues for a while. In his 2025 Letter to Shareholders, published as part of JPMorgan's 2025 Annual Report on April 6, 2026, Dimon discussed government deficit spending and past stimulus at length. JPMorgan Chase Investor Relations Those concerns appear to underpin his current warnings. JPMorgan Chase
The timing matters. Dimon's comments arrive after a long stretch of strong stock performance and while the bond market is still digesting the impact of large government deficits. For bond investors, his view suggests this is not an attractive moment to lock in long-term bonds. For stock investors, it is a signal that one of the most informed people in the market thinks current prices do not account enough for the risks out there.
The broader context here is a tension between what markets are pricing and what the economy actually looks like. Dimon's shareholder letter connected deficit spending and stimulus directly to his warning that markets are underpricing risk. The logic is simple: when the government runs large deficits, it has to issue more bonds, and that extra supply can push interest rates higher. At the same time, past government stimulus can keep demand and inflation (the general rise in prices over time) elevated longer than markets expect. Both forces suggest investments should be priced to offer more return for the risk involved.
It is not entirely clear from the CNBC reporting whether Dimon was making a short-term call or repeating a long-held concern. His shareholder letter suggests the latter — a deeply held worry about government spending and the inflation left behind by pandemic-era stimulus. But by saying "I wouldn't buy at these prices," he has turned abstract caution into a concrete personal stance, even if it is not a formal recommendation from JPMorgan.
For professional investors, the key question is whether the risks Dimon sees are already reflected in prices or genuinely overlooked. His claim that markets "underestimate" risks suggests he thinks prices do not fully account for the fiscal and economic vulnerabilities he sees. That is something the market will test over time — if those risks materialize, prices will adjust. But the timing and severity are inherently uncertain.
Dimon's remarks are not a prediction that markets will crash tomorrow. They are a statement about the balance of risk and reward: at current prices, the downside he sees outweighs the potential upside. Whether he is right will depend on government spending, inflation, and the broader economy — the same issues he has been flagging for years.


