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Lovable in Talks to Double Valuation to $13.2B as Menlo Ventures Circles Lead

Martin HollowayPublished 7d ago5 min readBased on 4 sources
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Lovable in Talks to Double Valuation to $13.2B as Menlo Ventures Circles Lead

Lovable is in talks to raise $300 million at a $13.2 billion valuation, exactly double the $6.6 billion mark it set just seven months ago TechCrunch Sifted. Menlo Ventures is expected to lead the round, according to both outlets. Sifted first reported the talks.

The Swedish AI-coding startup, less than three years old, raised $330 million in December 2025 at the $6.6 billion valuation, a round previously reported by Reuters and CNBC. A new raise at $13.2 billion would mark the second doubling of Lovable's valuation within roughly half a year — a pace that puts it among the fastest-scaling private software companies on record, alongside the current wave of foundation-model labs.

The financials underpinning the talks are notable on their own terms. Lovable hit $500 million in annualized revenue run rate in June 2026, per TechCrunch's reporting, up from figures that would have been a fraction of that at the time of the December round. Its customer base now includes Workday, Asana and Nvidia — enterprise names that mark a shift for a product category, AI-assisted app and software generation, that has largely lived in the prosumer and indie-developer world until recently.

Menlo Ventures' involvement carries its own context. The firm announced a $3 billion fund in June 2026, and leading a round of this size in Lovable would represent one of the fund's largest single deployments to date. Menlo has been an active investor across the current AI infrastructure and application stack; a lead position here would deepen its exposure to the "vibe coding" segment — natural-language-to-application tooling — where Lovable competes with the likes of Replit, Bolt and Cursor's expanding platform ambitions.

What the Numbers Suggest About the Market

A $13.2 billion valuation against a $500 million ARR run rate implies a revenue multiple in the mid-20s, which is rich even by the standards of the current AI application cycle, though not unprecedented for companies growing at this velocity. The more instructive number may be the growth rate itself: revenue run rate expansion of this magnitude in six months typically signals either genuine usage-driven demand, aggressive enterprise land-grabbing, or some combination of both, and the Workday/Asana/Nvidia customer list points toward the latter as much as the former.

The broader context here is a market rapidly re-rating AI coding tools from developer conveniences into infrastructure that enterprises are willing to standardize on. Nvidia's presence as a Lovable customer is particularly worth flagging — a company whose own AI chips underpin much of the infrastructure powering tools like Lovable, using such a tool itself, is the kind of circularity that has become increasingly common in this cycle, whether through investment, chip supply, cloud credits or direct product adoption.

In this author's view, the doubling of Lovable's valuation without a corresponding doubling of any disclosed profitability metric is consistent with a broader pattern this year: investors pricing in the addressable market for AI-native software creation rather than current unit economics. That is not unusual at this stage of a category's development — cloud infrastructure and mobile app platforms saw similar multiples in their own early scaling years — but it does mean the eventual test of durability will be retention and margin expansion once growth inevitably normalizes.

Where This Leaves Competitors and the Category

Lovable's rise complicates the competitive picture for rivals chasing enterprise budgets in the same space. A $13.2 billion valuation, if finalized, would place Lovable well ahead of most standalone AI coding startups by private-market pricing, though still behind the largest foundation-model labs it depends on for underlying model capability. That dependency — Lovable, like most AI coding tools, builds atop third-party large language models rather than training its own from scratch — remains a structural feature of the category worth watching as margins come under scrutiny.

Neither Lovable nor Menlo Ventures has issued a public confirmation of the terms as of this writing, and the deal, as reported, remains in talks rather than closed. TechCrunch and Sifted both frame the figures as reflecting an active negotiation rather than a signed agreement, a distinction worth keeping in mind before treating $13.2 billion as final. If completed, the round would extend a run of 2025-2026 financings in which AI-native software companies have repeatedly commanded valuations that outpace their revenue by a wide margin, betting that current growth curves hold.