Former Defence Minister Dr Wayne Mapp says the government is right to neither confirm nor deny Russian allegations that a New Zealand citizen was spying for the NZ Security Intelligence Service in Russia.

Mapp, who served as Defence Minister in the Key government, told RNZ that adopting what he called "a blank canvas" approach — refusing to comment on any aspect of the case — was the sensible response to a situation where the only public information is coming from Russian state sources (RNZ).

"Even a denial says something, whereas a confirm nor deny says much less," Mapp said.

The case centres on the arrest of a 55-year-old man in the Russian city of Khabarovsk. The arrest was first reported by The Moscow Times and accompanied by video footage released by Russia's federal security service, the FSB. The man is alleged to have used email and instant messaging to pass information to the SIS. If found guilty of treason under Russian law, he could face life imprisonment.

The New Zealand government and the SIS have both refused to comment on the allegations. Prime Minister Christopher Luxon has been briefed on the matter, according to Mapp. Russia's Ambassador to New Zealand, Stanislav Krans, declined an invitation to be interviewed on RNZ's Morning Report.

Mapp raised several concerns about the circumstances of the arrest and the information released by Russian authorities. He noted that the availability of footage showing the arrest on a street was unusually convenient, and suggested there could be an element of "Russian disinformation" at play. He also pointed to the fact that the man was shown being arrested and then appearing in court as evidence of what he called "a prepared narrative."

Commenting on the arrest footage itself, Mapp observed: "He does not look like James Bond, that's for sure."

Mapp contextualised Russia's behaviour by describing it as "a paranoid state that believes it's surrounded by enemies." He said Russia likely considers the Five Eyes intelligence-sharing partnership — of which New Zealand is a member, alongside Australia, Canada, the United Kingdom and the United States — to be "the worst of their enemies." He characterised Russia straightforwardly as "a police state."

Security analyst Paul Buchanan and Waikato University professor of international law Al Gillespie separately expressed reasons to be highly sceptical of the Russian statements, echoing Mapp's caution about treating the FSB-released material at face value.

The broader context here is the well-established pattern of Russian state media and security services producing staged or selectively edited footage to support espionage narratives. For a government operating under the Five Eyes framework, the calculation is straightforward: confirming or denying any detail of an intelligence relationship or operational matter hands the opposing state useful information. The "neither confirm nor deny" convention exists precisely for situations like this, where the other side controls the information environment entirely.

What gives this case particular texture is the involvement of an alleged human source rather than a signals intelligence matter. Human intelligence operations are the most sensitive category of intelligence work, and any public commentary — even a denial — can compound risk to the individual concerned. The government's silence is not merely diplomatic caution; it is the standard operational protocol for allied intelligence services when a source is compromised or exposed.

Mapp's intervention carries weight because of his time as Defence Minister, which would have placed him inside the intelligence oversight loop. His willingness to speak publicly, while carefully endorsing the government's position rather than contradicting it, suggests a degree of cross-political consensus on how to handle the matter. That consensus — that engaging with the Russian narrative on any terms is a mistake — is itself notable, at a time when much of domestic politics is sharply contested.

For the Beehive, the political risk in this case is low as long as the silence holds. The opposition has no obvious angle of attack when the government is following standard intelligence practice. That calculus could shift if the situation on the Russian side develops — further court appearances, a trial, or a verdict — and domestic pressure builds for some form of acknowledgment. For now, though, the government's position and Mapp's endorsement of it align with the long-standing convention that intelligence matters are not litigated in public.