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Two Unexpected Visitors: What It Means That China and Russia Both Went to North Korea This Summer

Elena MarquezPublished 2w ago6 min readBased on 4 sources
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Two Unexpected Visitors: What It Means That China and Russia Both Went to North Korea This Summer

Two Unexpected Visitors: What It Means That China and Russia Both Went to North Korea This Summer

North Korea's capital, Pyongyang, almost never receives international visitors at the highest levels. But in the summer of 2024, something unusual happened: the leaders of both China and Russia visited within ten days of each other. Chinese President Xi Jinping arrived on June 8–9, his first visit in nearly seven years. Russian President Vladimir Putin followed on June 18–19, his first trip to Pyongyang in 24 years. These two visits weren't random occurrences. Together, they reveal that North Korea is shifting its strategy — and that China and Russia are each trying to keep North Korea close to their own interests.

Why Was It So Long Since Xi Visited?

Xi Jinping's last visit to Pyongyang before 2024 was in 2019. That seven-year gap wasn't accidental. It followed years when nuclear talks between North Korea and the United States went nowhere. It included the COVID pandemic, when North Korea shut its borders completely. And it happened as China and the U.S. became increasingly competitive rivals in Asia.

By June 2024, that competition had hardened. NATO was expanding its presence in Asia. The U.S., South Korea, and Japan were coordinating their military strategies more closely. In that environment, China saw North Korea differently: a country aligned tightly with China is useful; a country drifting toward Russia instead is dangerous.

The order of these visits carried a message. China sent Xi first — before Putin arrived. This wasn't random. In North Korea's relationships, China is the anchor. China provides most of North Korea's food and fuel. China has prevented some of the harshest international sanctions from being fully enforced. China's historical role shaped the whole region's security system after the Korean War ended in 1953. By arriving first, Xi was saying: China still comes first.

Russia's Deal: Weapons and Protection

Putin visited North Korea on June 18–19, 2024, and he came away with something concrete. Russia and North Korea signed a mutual defence pact. This kind of agreement means that if one country is attacked, the other is obligated to help. It echoes Cold War alliance treaties.

From Russia's perspective, this deal is straightforward and urgent: Russia needs ammunition. The war in Ukraine has consumed artillery shells and missiles at a rate that most countries cannot match. North Korea manufactures weapons and has been doing so for decades. For North Korea, the benefits are less obvious but potentially longer-lasting: access to Russian satellite technology, a way to reduce its dependence on China, and a promise of security from a permanent member of the UN Security Council — the same body that has punished it with sanctions.

This pattern has appeared in history before. In the 1950s and 1960s, Egypt balanced between the Soviet Union and the United States to gain leverage. Pakistan has done similar balancing between the U.S. and China during conflicts with India. North Korea is now trying the same strategy — playing larger powers against each other to protect its interests. What makes North Korea different, and more powerful in these negotiations, is that it possesses nuclear weapons. No partner can push it around completely.

How Does China View the Russia-North Korea Deal?

China's public statements about the Russia–North Korea pact are calm and measured. But privately, Beijing is uneasy. China benefits when global rules are challenged by its rivals, but it loses if North Korean weapons shipments to Russia prompt the West to send more military aid to Ukraine. That kind of escalation pushes the world toward a split between rival blocs — something China claims to oppose.

A North Korea that is too close to Russia on its own terms becomes harder for China to control. The peninsula is what China calls a "buffer zone" — a region it must be able to influence to feel secure. Xi's June visit was partly a reassurance operation: telling Kim Jong Un that China is still the most important partner, and telling the world that China hasn't lost influence over the peninsula. Whether Beijing promised economic aid, technology, or military guarantees in return is unknown.

Three Powers, Three Different Interests

What the summer 2024 visits reveal is not a formal alliance, but overlapping relationships. North Korea provides Russia with weapons. Russia provides North Korea with protection (through its UN veto) and potentially advanced technology. China provides both countries with economic help and diplomatic support. None of the three has officially joined a bloc, but all three benefit from the arrangement.

This shift affects others directly. South Korea, Japan, and the United States now face a security problem: the Korean Peninsula is more connected to the war in Ukraine than it has been since the 1950s. South Korea had previously refused to send weapons to Ukraine. But in late 2024, after learning that North Korea was sending weapons to Russia, South Korea started reconsidering that policy.

The United Nations Security Council faces a problem too. Russia's UN veto makes it impossible to impose new sanctions on North Korea — the main tool used to pressure Pyongyang since 2006. The international system that was built to punish North Korea no longer works the way it was designed to.

What Happens Now?

Whether the Russia–North Korea partnership lasts depends partly on how the Ukraine war ends and partly on whether Russia can deliver what it promised. If Russia shares advanced technology that helps North Korea improve its nuclear weapons or long-range missiles, that would represent a major escalation — one that would force both China and the United States to respond differently.

The visits from Xi and Putin after such long gaps are significant. Both leaders decided the moment was important enough to travel to Pyongyang in person. What they agreed to behind closed doors — what North Korea committed to, what it extracted in return — will determine how the peninsula's security situation evolves. For 70 years, that situation has barely changed. But now, for the first time in decades, it is clearly shifting.