Politics

Labor's Visa Overstayer Plan, Explained in Plain English

Marian ElleryPublished 5d ago3 min readBased on 2 sources
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Labor's Visa Overstayer Plan, Explained in Plain English
Photo by UK Home Office / CC BY 4.0

Home Affairs Minister Tony Burke announced a new immigration plan at the National Press Club on 17 September 2026. The aim is to cut the number of people living in Australia without a valid visa, estimated at about 77,000. Guardian

The main step is to reopen detention centres for visa overstayers. That means people who stayed on after their visa ran out. Burke said 100 new compliance officers would be hired to find them.

Burke also gave bed numbers. There would be 250 extra detention beds, plus a 100-bed quarantine site in Victoria that could be reused. That is 350 beds at most. That is far fewer than 77,000.

Burke said most people would stay in detention for a matter of weeks. They would be encouraged to leave Australia by choice. Like a short-stay waiting room while a flight home is booked, not long-term lock-up. He said this was normal practice before 2015.

The plan also cuts overall migration. Net overseas migration means arrivals minus departures. Labor wants it down from 292,100 to 245,000 in 2026/27, then 225,000 a year after that. The September 2026 changes also make it harder to keep hopping from one visa to another to stay longer. SBS

This has a history. In 2014, then-immigration minister Peter Dutton brought in mandatory visa cancellations for offenders who committed crimes. Burke says he is bringing back the older, pre-2015 system for overstayers. He calls it restoration, not a new idea.

The Greens hit back fast. Immigration spokesperson David Shoebridge said Labor was "reheating Tony Abbott's immigration attacks with a 2026 Donald Trump twist." He said the new detention sites would be run by the same US private prison company already running detention in Australia. He added, "if the minister does not want comparison to ICE he should not behave like ICE."

That company is Management and Training Corporation. In 2025 it won a $2.3 billion contract to run onshore detention here through its local business, Secure Journeys. It also runs ICE detention centres in the United States.

Burke rejected that link. He called the comparison with the Trump administration's immigration approach a "ridiculous claim."

The broader context here is why Labor put these two ideas together. Finding overstayers looks tough on enforcement. Cutting migration numbers looks tough on totals. Together, Labor can say it is controlling people already here unlawfully and new arrivals too, without passing a new detention law.

In my view, the numbers will be tested fast. One hundred officers. About 350 beds. Seventy-seven thousand cases. This only works if people move through quickly and most agree to leave. If flights are slow or court cases drag stays out, the beds will fill up. And the US company link will keep getting raised, fair or not.

The Canberra pattern here is familiar. Governments promise officers and beds. Burke has named his figures. Forget the spin. Watch removals, voluntary departures, how long people stay in detention, and whether migration truly falls to 245,000 and then 225,000.