Finance

Gas Prices Are Stuck at $3 — Here's What to Know

Marcus SterlingPublished 5w ago2 min readBased on 11 sources
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Gas Prices Are Stuck at $3 — Here's What to Know
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Natural gas futures fell 3.1% to $3.011 per mmBtu on Sept. 29, sliding back toward $3. Wall Street Journal

An mmBtu is just the unit used to price gas. The front-month price is the nearest contract, the going rate right now.

That left the near-term price stuck where it has sat much of late summer. On Aug. 17, futures finished down 6.1% to $3 per mmBtu. Wall Street Journal Early-September and mid-August WSJ coverage showed the same tight range around $3, with small dips and bounces but no clear break.

Other screens without a clear date showed prices a bit lower around Oct. 1. One source put gas at 2.95 USD/MMBtu on Oct. 1, 2026, down 2.39% on the day and down 0.08% from the month before. Trading Economics Another energy screen listed Nymex gas at 2.97 USD/MMBtu, up 0.06 or 1.92%, for October 2026. Bloomberg Those numbers sit below the Sept. 29 settlement and are only guide screens, not replacements for it.

Storage kept filling, like stocking a pantry for winter. Working gas in underground storage was 3,351 Bcf as of Friday, Sept. 18, 2026, up 53 Bcf from the week before, per EIA estimates. U.S. Energy Information Administration Bcf means billion cubic feet. EIA's Henry Hub spot price history page showed a release date of Sept. 30, 2026. U.S. Energy Information Administration

Prices for winter delivery stayed higher than prices for now. The November 2026 contract (NGX26) was listed at 3.023, up 0.012 (+0.40%), and the December 2026 contract (NGZ26) at 3.362, up 0.024 (+0.72%). CME Group The January 2027 contract (NGF27) was listed at 3.733 on the same board. CME Group That upward slope is called contango. CME Group calls the October 2026 contract NGV26. CME Group Its calendar lists 28 Sep 2026, 29 Sep 2026 and 01 Oct 2026 for that October 2026 contract. CME Group CME Group describes Henry Hub futures as the largest physical commodity futures contract. CME Group

The broader context here is near-term prices staying flat while winter prices hold higher. A $3.011 front price against $3.362 for December and $3.733 for January leaves about 35 cents from November to December and another 37 cents to January. That shape reflects the cost of storing gas and the extra pay asked for cold months.

In my view, the thing to watch is not a move of a few cents around $3. It is whether the near price can move away from $3 without winter prices moving too. Steady storage gains with a soft near price and firm January suggests comfort holding gas but wanting extra to deliver it in peak cold.