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Stocks Went Up — Here's Why Tesla and IBM Matter Next

Marcus SterlingPublished 3h ago3 min readBased on 7 sources
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Stocks Went Up — Here's Why Tesla and IBM Matter Next

Wall Street closed higher on July 21, 2026, lifted by a recovery in semiconductor stocks as investors turned their attention to the corporate earnings season, according to Reuters. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq both climbed. Earnings reports — when companies share their financial results with the public — provided the main push upward, even as Middle East tensions continued to cast a shadow over the session, TheStreet reported.

The chip-stock rebound is the immediate story, but the real focus shifts to July 22, when two major companies report their financial results on the same day. Tesla and IBM are both scheduled to share their second-quarter 2026 numbers on Wednesday, with conference calls following.

Tesla's results and Q&A webcast is set for July 22, 2026, per the company's investor relations page. IBM will hold its earnings call the same day at 5:00 p.m. ET, IBM announced on July 8.

Tesla has been unusually open about what to expect. On July 17, the company published a summary of what stock analysts predict for its second quarter (Tesla IR). These analysts work at banks and brokerages, studying companies and publishing forecasts. Tesla gathered their predictions into one document.

The predictions put Tesla's total revenue between $27,584 million and $27,965 million. Gross profit — the money left over after paying to make the products — is expected between $5,378 million and $5,455 million. The cost to produce those goods runs from $22,206 million to $22,497 million. The implied gross margin, meaning gross profit as a share of revenue, sits at 19.5%.

These figures give traders a narrow range to react to. If revenue comes in below $27,584 million, that's a clear miss. Anything above $27,965 million beats the top end. The 19.5% gross margin is the number investors will watch most closely, given ongoing questions about Tesla's pricing power and costs.

Tesla also published a delivery forecast on June 26 (Tesla IR), which noted that first-quarter 2026 figures are actual results while second-quarter and later numbers reflect analyst estimates, including from Daiwa and Deutsche Bank.

IBM's earnings call has less pre-released data from verified public sources, but the timing matters. Both companies reporting on the same day creates a concentrated risk for investors who hold shares in both AI-related and large tech companies.

The broader backdrop here is a market already weighing political uncertainty overseas. TheStreet noted that Middle East tensions loomed over the July 21 session even as stocks advanced, and Reuters' headline referenced Iran ceasefire hopes as a factor in pre-market trading. The interplay between signs of de-escalation abroad and corporate results will shape how the market prices future earnings.

For traders, the tension is straightforward. Chip-stock momentum drove the July 21 close, but that move is backward-looking. The real information arrives when Tesla and IBM share actual numbers against the expectations already in the market. Tesla's decision to publish a consensus narrows the surprise range and shifts attention to the company's own outlook for upcoming quarters rather than just the headline profit figure. IBM, reporting after the market closes, will test whether spending on business technology holds up for the rest of 2026.

Neither company has reported results yet. What the market has are ranges, schedules, and a risk picture that shifted modestly the day before.