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SpaceX Just Published Its First Earnings Report. Revenue Doubled — but the Stock Still Fell.

Marcus SterlingPublished 3d ago5 min readBased on 10 sources
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SpaceX Just Published Its First Earnings Report. Revenue Doubled — but the Stock Still Fell.
source:spacex.com

SpaceX reported $7.8 billion in revenue for the second quarter of 2026, nearly double the $4.1 billion it made in the same period a year earlier. The company also lost $541 million, which sounds bad, but that loss was $467 million smaller than the year before. These numbers, released after the market closed on August 4, 2026, are SpaceX's first earnings report since it went public in June with an $86 billion IPO (Reuters).

An IPO, or initial public offering, is when a company first sells its shares to the public. SpaceX lost 9 cents per share this quarter. Analysts had expected a loss of 26 cents per share, so the result was better than predicted. But the good news was not enough to keep the stock up. Shares fell 7% in after-hours trading on Tuesday, after rising 9.4% during the regular day (Reuters).

The stock's journey since going public has been rough. SpaceX shares jumped 19% on their first day of trading on the Nasdaq, pushing the company's total value above $2 trillion and near Amazon's. That excitement did not last. By mid-July, the stock had fallen 33% from its peak, dropping as low as $132.15. In just two days, about $660 billion in value vanished as the stock fell below its $135 IPO price (Reuters).

Everyday investors have been hit hard. About 20% of IPO shares went to individual investors, a much bigger share than usual for a listing this large. By mid-July, anyone who bought at the $135 IPO price was down about 10%. Those who bought at the peak in June were worse off. The stock dropping below the IPO price turned a celebrated listing into a test of confidence, with individual investors bearing more of the pain than big institutions (Reuters).

The core issue is the stock's price relative to the company's profits. SpaceX shares have been trading at about 77 times earnings, meaning investors are paying $77 for every $1 the company earns. To justify a price that high, a company needs to keep growing fast and show a believable path to turning a profit. The 92% revenue jump and the shrinking loss help, but whether they are enough depends on what the company says about future growth, spending, and its AI-related costs, which Reuters reported Wall Street is watching closely (Reuters).

The broader context here is that a key date is coming. About 180 days after an IPO, rules that stop insiders and early investors from selling their shares typically expire. This is called a lockup expiry. The mid-July selloff suggests the market is already bracing for insiders to sell once that restriction lifts. When a stock is already trading below its IPO price, insiders may rush to sell before it drops further, pushing the price down even more. Since individual investors took a larger share of the IPO, they are more exposed to this risk than big institutions, whose purchase prices were far lower.

The EU prospectus approved by BaFin on June 5, 2026, set a par value of $0.001 per share and a maximum offering price of $162.00 for the international part of the listing. That ceiling now sits well above where the stock has settled, showing that the IPO was priced for peak demand that has since cooled.

The first earnings report as a public company sent a clear signal: revenue is growing fast, and losses are shrinking. But the after-hours stock drop tells you the market expected even more. The tension between how fast the business is growing and how expensive the stock is remains the central question, and it will likely stick around until SpaceX can show it is on a path to steady profits.

For anyone following this stock, the second-quarter results offer the first real data points: $7.8 billion in revenue, a 9-cent loss versus the 26 cents expected, and $467 million in loss improvement. Everything else — whether the company can reach profitability, how much it will keep spending, and whether revenue growth can last — will be tested in the quarters ahead.