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How Ukraine and the U.S. Are Negotiating an End to the War

Elena MarquezPublished 2w ago6 min readBased on 7 sources
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How Ukraine and the U.S. Are Negotiating an End to the War

Kyiv and Washington Push Forward With Diplomatic Talks

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy recently held a phone call with President Donald Trump and a delegation of U.S. negotiators — including Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner — to discuss how to end Russia's war in Ukraine, according to a statement from the Ukrainian presidential office on February 25, 2026. The discussion focused on security guarantees for Ukraine — essentially, what commitments would protect Ukraine after a potential peace deal.

The timing was striking. On the same day as this diplomatic call, Russia launched one of its heaviest attacks of the war: 420 drones and 39 missiles struck Ukrainian targets, according to AP News on February 26, 2026. This pattern — intensive diplomacy happening at the same moment as intense military strikes — has repeated many times in this conflict. It shows the difficult position Ukraine faces. While negotiating peace, Kyiv must also defend itself against relentless attacks.

How the Talks Are Structured

This February phone call is not an isolated event. It's the latest step in a series of diplomatic moves that picked up speed in late 2025 and has continued into 2026, according to AP News.

In December 2025, the U.S. proposed a new framework for negotiations. Instead of just Russia and Ukraine talking alone, the U.S. suggested including American and potentially European envoys at the table. On December 20, Zelenskyy confirmed this new format through Reuters. This is different from earlier attempts, which had only Russia and Ukraine negotiating directly.

A few days before that, on December 14, Zelenskyy signalled something significant: he was willing to set aside Ukraine's goal of joining NATO during peace talks, Reuters reported. This was a major shift. It doesn't mean Ukraine is abandoning its ties to the West for good, but it removes NATO membership from immediate negotiation discussions. This could make room for a security arrangement that Moscow might accept without formally bringing Ukraine into the NATO alliance.

By late January 2026, Zelenskyy called the talks between Russian and American representatives "constructive," AP News reported. That careful word choice was telling — he didn't oversell a breakthrough, but he also left the door open for continued talks.

Europe's Role in the Negotiations

At the same time the U.S. has been negotiating, Zelenskyy and NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte have been meeting to coordinate European positions. According to Ukraine's presidential office on December 26, 2025, they've been discussing joint security guarantees and how European countries should align before any major agreement is reached. This is important because European governments — particularly France, the United Kingdom, Germany, and the Nordic states — have their own concerns about Ukraine's future. They worry about different things than Washington does, and each has domestic political pressures to manage. The Rutte-Zelenskyy talks are, in practical terms, about making sure Europe doesn't feel left out of a deal made between the U.S. and Russia.

This coordination matters. We've seen similar dynamics before in the 1995 Dayton Accords, when the U.S. negotiated the end of the Bosnian war. Back then, American negotiators moved quickly while European capitals worked more slowly to build consensus. The risk was that a deal struck in Washington might lack broad international support. The fact that both Rutte and Zelenskyy are working hard to stay aligned suggests they're aware of that risk.

Security Guarantees: What Does That Actually Mean?

When negotiators talk about "security guarantees," they're really talking about a range of possible arrangements. It could mean a direct U.S. commitment to defend Ukraine. It could mean a formal treaty between multiple countries. It could mean European troops stationed in Ukraine to observe or keep the peace. Each option has different strength and different political challenges.

When Zelenskyy said in December that he'd set aside NATO membership, he was trying to solve a structural problem. NATO requires all current members to agree before admitting a new country — any single member can block it. By asking for security guarantees instead of membership, Ukraine potentially opens a faster path to protection without needing everyone in NATO to say yes.

But here's the sticking point: nobody can agree on what "security guarantee" actually means. Russia says it won't accept any Western security arrangement for Ukraine, period. Western countries haven't publicly agreed on what commitments they would actually make or pay for. The February 25 call suggests the Trump administration is seriously working through the details — but there's a big gap between what negotiators discuss and what governments can actually ratify and enforce.

The Military Pressure Continues

The Russian strike on February 26 — those 420 drones and 39 missiles — illustrates something consistent about this war. Russia keeps military pressure high, and often increases it, even while diplomacy is happening. Whether this is calculated pressure to push Ukraine to accept less favorable terms, whether Russian military commanders are acting independently of the diplomacy, or whether it's simply a planned military operation continuing on schedule is unclear. What we know for certain is that Ukraine must keep defending itself while also managing the most complex negotiations of the entire war.

This reality shapes what Zelenskyy can realistically agree to. Ukraine's ability to keep fighting and defending itself while holding together a negotiating position is not unlimited. That's why the security guarantee question isn't just abstract talk for diplomats — it's an urgent operational and political necessity. Without confidence in future protection, Ukraine cannot afford to agree to terms that freeze the current battlefield.

What Happens Now

The February 25 phone call did not produce a public agreement, a timeline for a ceasefire, or announced security guarantees. What it did produce was another round of high-level, substantive discussion between Kyiv and the Trump administration, with security guarantees formally on the agenda.

In the coming weeks, watch whether European capitals are genuine partners in shaping any deal, or whether they're being consulted after key decisions are already made. The coordination between Rutte and Zelenskyy suggests the intention to include Europe, but the history of these negotiations shows that Washington often moves faster than European consensus mechanisms allow.

There's one crucial gap worth tracking: it's not the distance between Washington and Kyiv, where talks are actively happening. It's whether any deal negotiated at the envoy level can actually be ratified, enforced, and backed up by the institutions and governments that would need to make it real. A framework that negotiators agree to but allied governments cannot enforce is, in practical terms, no framework at all.