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How Iran, the US, and Lebanon Are Negotiating Very Different Ceasefires

Elena MarquezPublished 2month ago5 min readBased on 13 sources
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How Iran, the US, and Lebanon Are Negotiating Very Different Ceasefires

How Iran, the US, and Lebanon Are Negotiating Very Different Ceasefires

Iran is saying that the ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon isn't just about those two countries — it's part of a much larger deal between Iran and the United States. This reframing, announced by Iran's Foreign Ministry in April 2026, matters because it ties Lebanon's future to a much bigger negotiation happening in a back channel controlled by Pakistan.

Here's why Iran's framing is important: by linking the Lebanon ceasefire to an Iran-US truce, Tehran gives itself leverage over both negotiations at once. If one falls apart, the other could too. It's a way of saying that Lebanon's security can't be separated from the broader regional balance Iran is trying to strike with Washington. Iran's Foreign Minister made this connection explicit in conversations with Lebanon's Parliament Speaker and Qatar's Foreign Minister, keeping key regional players aware of the linkage.

The Islamabad Channel: Where the Real Negotiating Happens

Pakistan has become the unlikely mediator between Iran and the United States. An Iranian delegation traveled to Islamabad to negotiate with the US, and by mid-April, Reuters was already reporting that cracks were showing. Iran complained that its oil exports were being squeezed, and made clear that unfreezing Iranian government assets — money locked away by international sanctions — would be a non-negotiable condition of any lasting agreement. This tells you what Iran cares about most: sanctions relief, not just a temporary pause in fighting.

Lebanon: Caught Between Two Different Negotiations

Meanwhile, the United States and Israel have been treating Lebanon as a separate file. On April 14, the US, Israel, and Lebanon held a trilateral meeting that produced a joint statement focusing on implementing the ceasefire agreement reached in November 2024. Later that month, Israeli and Lebanese negotiators met in Washington for a second round of direct talks, according to the Israeli Embassy.

But Israel and Iran see the Lebanon situation very differently. Israel has a specific compliance question: Has Lebanon disarmed Hezbollah, the Iranian-backed militia, as the November 2024 ceasefire agreement required? Israeli Ambassador Anolik stated in May 2026 that Lebanon had failed to meet those obligations. Israeli officials saw the ceasefire negotiations as a chance to push Hezbollah out of southern Lebanon entirely, and Prime Minister Netanyahu publicly urged Lebanon to begin direct talks while praising its stated goal of disarming the group.

Iran, by contrast, sees Lebanon through the lens of its own negotiations with the US. For Tehran, what happens in Lebanon is tied to what happens in the broader Middle East. These are fundamentally different frameworks. Lebanon, meanwhile, sits awkwardly in the middle — publicly committed to the November 2024 terms but lacking either the military power or political consensus to force Hezbollah to comply.

The Iran-US Talks: Stalled and Uncertain

The wider Iran-US negotiations have hit a snag. After the Lebanon ceasefire was announced, Trump envoy Steve Witkoff traveled to Switzerland to continue talks with Iran. But Reuters reported on June 19 that those talks were postponed, which matters because it suggests the two sides haven't even agreed on what they're trying to achieve, let alone the details.

The obstacle is sanctions relief. Iran has made unfreezing billions of dollars in frozen assets a condition of any permanent ceasefire. That puts the US in a tight spot, because sanctions policy is politically charged at home. The previous US administration had already struggled to produce lasting results in the Middle East — the Gaza ceasefire negotiations of 2024 went nowhere, and the November 2024 Lebanon ceasefire was more of a pause than a solution.

What Iran is trying to do now is connect all these fragments into one deal. The logic is clear: if you want a stable settlement in the Middle East, you need a strategic understanding between the two regional powers — Iran and the US. Pakistan becomes the venue because it has relationships with both sides. But whether Washington is willing to think about the problem that way remains the central question.

The postponement of the Switzerland talks suggests the answer is still no. Without agreement on the basic structure of a deal, discussing specific terms becomes almost impossible. For anyone watching this closely: the Lebanon ceasefire cannot be understood by itself. It's now part of a larger negotiation that includes Iran's nuclear program, American sanctions policy, and the overall balance of power in the Middle East. Pakistan's Islamabad channel is now the diplomatic venue that matters most.