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Trump Points to Friendship With Kim to Explain North Korea-Iran Nuclear Split

Elena MarquezPublished 4d ago4 min readBased on 4 sources
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Trump Points to Friendship With Kim to Explain North Korea-Iran Nuclear Split
Photo by The White House from Washington, DC / Public domain

US President Donald Trump called North Korean leader Kim Jong Un "a friend" in Washington, DC, on Sept. 30, when asked why North Korea can possess nuclear weapons while Iran cannot. Al Jazeera The answer linked two separate nuclear disputes through one rationale. The distinction, he said, was personal.

Trump said of Kim, "a friend of mine and I like him." He added, "as long as I'm around, he's going to be fine" because Kim respects and likes him. He said that relationship sets North Korea apart from Iran on the nuclear weapons issue. Newsweek He attributed North Korea's development of nuclear weapons to the United States having had a different president. Benzinga

Trump described North Korea's nuclear capacity as "pretty large" but "not like us." South Korean Defence Minister Ahn Gyu-back said North Korea possessed between 80 and 120 nuclear warheads — individual nuclear weapons that can be fitted to missiles. Trump recently asserted the number is 57. Trump held summits with Kim in 2018 and 2019. He said he planned to hold in-person talks with Kim before the end of the year.

The broader context here is a shift from verifiable benchmarks to leader-level assurance as the way to manage nuclear risk. For practitioners, that raises practical questions about sequencing, verification protocols, and the role of working-level channels. Personal rapport can open doors, like a first phone call that gets talks started. It does not resolve warhead accounting, delivery systems, or command and control.

Looking at what this means for alliance coordination and extended deterrence, Seoul's higher public estimate and Washington's lower figure point to a gap in intelligence and messaging that counterparts will examine closely. If bilateral summitry resumes before January, agenda-setting becomes important. Process design, pre-negotiation, and consulting allies will determine whether dialogue constrains capability or normalizes possession.

In my view, the Iran comparison will draw close scrutiny from nonproliferation specialists, the experts who track the spread of nuclear weapons. Differentiating tolerance by bilateral relationship rather than treaty obligation or inspection access creates precedent effects beyond the peninsula. Other threshold actors watch rhetoric for signals about enforcement consistency. How Washington reconciles that differentiation with its broader counterproliferation posture will shape expectations in capitals far from Pyongyang.

What to watch next is whether the proposed meeting before year-end acquires preparatory structure or remains leader-driven signaling. Without a defined mandate, working groups, or agreed baselines for freeze, rollback, or transparency measures, summits tend to manage tension rather than alter force posture. For officials charged with risk reduction, the test will be procedural as much as substantive, and the calendar is short.