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Ukraine's Oil Campaign Deepens as Russian Strikes on Civilians Continue

Elena MarquezPublished 3w ago4 min readBased on 11 sources
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Ukraine's Oil Campaign Deepens as Russian Strikes on Civilians Continue

Russian aerial bombs killed four people, including a 16-year-old, and injured at least nine others in Kramatorsk on July 10, 2026. Seven bombs struck residential buildings, a shop, and private homes in the eastern Ukrainian city, according to Donetsk regional governor Vadym Filashkin's announcement on Telegram Al Jazeera.

Kramatorsk has become a recurring target. The city serves as a logistics and administrative hub for Ukraine's Donetsk front, making it strategically valuable to Russian commanders. On March 29, a Russian attack killed three people and injured 13 Reuters. On July 2, strikes injured four and damaged multiple apartment buildings, a private house, a shop, and a vehicle dn.gov.ua. The city's exposure to bombardment extends back further: on June 27, regional officials marked the anniversary of a 2023 missile strike on the RIA Pizza restaurant that killed 13 people, including three children, and injured 64 dn.gov.ua.

On the same July 10, Ukraine's military reported strikes on Russian oil infrastructure across three regions. Targeted facilities included the Ilsky oil refinery in Krasnodar, the Ust-Luga refining complex in Leningrad region, plus an oil terminal and oil depot in Rostov Al Jazeera. Ukraine's drone forces commander, Robert Brovdi, reported that 10 tankers in the Sea of Azov were also attacked that day. In response, Russia's Deputy Prime Minister announced a temporary ban on gasoline and diesel exports, citing fuel shortages from the drone campaign. President Vladimir Putin acknowledged the strikes' contribution to shortages but described the overall situation as "not critical."

This refinery campaign has accelerated dramatically since early 2026. Reuters reported in mid-June that Ukrainian attacks on Russian refineries had doubled over the first half of the year, with multiple facilities shutting down partially or entirely. A separate strike shut down a refinery near Moscow Reuters. On July 1, Ukraine struck the Ufa refinery — more than 1,300 km from the front line — for the second time. President Volodymyr Zelenskyy framed this as targeting both fuel production and plants that manufacture missile components Reuters. Three days later, on July 6, Ukrainian drones hit the Omsk refinery in Siberia, one of Russia's largest and, according to Reuters, one of the deepest strikes of the war given the distance involved. By July 7, two industry sources told Reuters that Omsk had halted processing entirely following the attack Reuters. Earlier in June, drones struck an oil terminal in St. Petersburg and a warship in dry-dock at a nearby naval base Reuters.

The spread of these targets across Russia — from the Baltic coast near St. Petersburg to Krasnodar on the Black Sea, to Omsk deep in Siberia — reflects a deliberate expansion of Ukraine's strike range rather than focusing only on facilities near the front line. Kyiv's strategic rationale is direct: by degrading Russia's refining capacity, Ukraine forces Moscow to choose between protecting domestic fuel supplies or maintaining fuel for military operations. The export ban Russia announced suggests the Kremlin is prioritizing domestic supply, even as Putin publicly minimizes the severity.

What remains uncertain from outside observation is whether "not critical" reflects the actual situation or whether it amounts to political damage control designed to reassure Russian consumers before what could be a difficult refining season. What we can measure, however, is the tempo: strikes on Ust-Luga, Ilsky, Ufa, Omsk, and Rostov across roughly five weeks indicate Ukraine has moved beyond occasional attacks into a systematic effort to degrade Russian refining capacity. Simultaneously, Russian strikes on Ukrainian cities like Kramatorsk follow their own steady rhythm. Both campaigns appear poised to continue without a near-term letup.