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The U.S. Made a Nuclear Deal with Saudi Arabia — But There's a Catch

Elena MarquezPublished 2w ago4 min readBased on 6 sources
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The U.S. Made a Nuclear Deal with Saudi Arabia — But There's a Catch

President Donald Trump said on July 23, 2026, that the United States has signed a nuclear cooperation agreement with Saudi Arabia, but that the deal only goes forward if Saudi Arabia agrees to recognize Israel and join a peace framework called the Abraham Accords. Trump posted about it on Truth Social, calling the Accords "very respected and successful" (BBC).

A civil nuclear cooperation agreement is a deal that lets countries work together on peaceful uses of nuclear energy, like generating electricity. Trump said this pact is strictly for non-military use and that Saudi Arabia will not be allowed to enrich nuclear material, a process that can be used to make fuel for power plants but also for nuclear weapons. He also told CBS News: "We're going to try to get Saudi Arabia to join the Abraham Accords to end the Arab-Israeli conflict in 2026" (Forward) (Times of Israel).

The Abraham Accords are a set of agreements that Trump helped broker in 2020. They normalized relations between Israel and two Arab nations, the United Arab Emirates and Bahrain. Sudan and Morocco later joined the same framework (BBC). Normalizing relations means countries that previously had no formal diplomatic ties agree to recognize each other and cooperate.

This condition is a reversal from earlier in Trump's presidency. In May 2025, Reuters reported that the United States had decided to keep nuclear talks with Saudi Arabia separate from any requirement to recognize Israel (Reuters). Now Trump has tied them back together. A White House statement from June 19, 2026, foreshadowed this change, saying that expanding the Abraham Accords and normalizing relations between Saudi Arabia and Israel is "President Trump's and my ultimate goal" (White House).

The New York Times reported the signing on July 22 under the headline "U.S. Signs Deal to Help Saudis Obtain Nuclear Power" (NYT). The report compared the deal to South Korea's earlier pursuit of nuclear power, noting that the United States responded differently in that case. The Times suggested this points to a double standard in how the U.S. applies its nonproliferation rules, which are policies meant to stop nuclear weapons from spreading to more countries.

Experts have criticized the deal, saying it could increase the risk of nuclear proliferation in the region (BBC). Trump's promise that no enrichment will happen is meant to ease those concerns. But whether that promise holds depends on whether there are reliable ways to verify it and whether future presidents keep the agreement in place.

The broader picture involves several competing interests. Separating the nuclear talks from the Israel question in 2025 seemed to mean Washington was willing to move forward on nuclear cooperation with Saudi Arabia on its own. Re-linking the two issues puts the nuclear deal back into the administration's larger Middle East diplomatic plans. For Saudi Arabia, the calculation has always involved weighing the benefits of a U.S. nuclear partnership against the political costs of recognizing Israel, especially when the Palestinian question remains unresolved.

Israel has reacted with alarm (Times of Israel). Even a Saudi nuclear program limited to peaceful purposes adds a new element of uncertainty to a region where nuclear tensions are already high. The comparison to South Korea raised by the Times matters because it shows that the United States has not applied the same nonproliferation rules to all of its partners, and that Saudi Arabia is getting terms that other allies did not.

Looking ahead, the condition Trump has set creates a difficult choice for Saudi Arabia. Riyadh must decide whether a nuclear partnership with Washington is worth accepting recognition of Israel as a requirement. The administration has said it wants Saudi Arabia to join the Abraham Accords in 2026. Whether that goal is realistic depends on more than the nuclear deal, including Saudi Arabia's position in the region and the state of Arab-Israeli relations more broadly.

What the sequence of events shows is that the administration's approach has shifted over time: from separating the issues in 2025, to calling normalization an "ultimate goal" in June 2026, to now making the nuclear pact conditional on joining the Accords. The deal is signed. The condition is stated. Whether Saudi Arabia accepts it is the question that will shape what happens next.